Since the BAFTA Awards moved ahead of the Oscars in 2000, it has become a fairly reliable barometer as who will win in the four acting races at the Academy Awards. Last year’s quartet of Oscar winners — leads Frances McDormand (“Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”) and Gary Oldman (“Darkest Hour”) as well as supporting players Allison Janney (“I, Tonya”) and Sam Rockwell (“Three Billboards”) — all got a chance to practice their acceptance speeches at the BAFTAs first.
But there have been five times when the British academy has gone with home-grown talent over the eventual Oscar winners. That could bode well for “The Favourite” leading lady Olivia Colman this year. And there have been eight other instances when British nominees have won without facing the eventual Academy Awards champs.
2000: Jamie Bell for “Billy Elliot” over Russell Crowe for “Gladiator”; Bell was snubbed by Oscars.
2002: Daniel Day-Lewis for “Gangs of New York” over Adrien Brody for “The Pianist.”
2009: Colin Firth for A Single Man” over Jeff Bridges for “Crazy Heart.”
2013: Chiwetel Ejiofor won the BAFTA for “12 Years a Slave”; Oscar winner Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club”) was not nominated at BAFTA.
2001: Judi Dench won the BAFTA for “Iris”; Oscar winner Halle Berry (“Monster’s Ball”) was nominated at BAFTA the following year and lost to Nicole Kidman (“The Hours”).
2004: Imelda Staunton won the BAFTA for “Vera Drake”; Oscar winner Hillary Swank (“Million Dollar Baby”) was not nominated at BAFTA.
2009: Carey Mulligan for “An Education”; Oscar winner Sandra Bullock for “The Blind Side” was not nominated at BAFTA.
Best Supporting Actor
2003: Bill Nighy for “Love Actually” over Tim Robbins for “Mystic River”; Nighy was snubbed by Oscars.
2004: Clive Owen won the BAFTA for “Closer”; Oscar winner Morgan Freeman (“Million Dollar Baby”) was not nominated at BAFTA.
2017: Dev Patel for “Lion” over Mahershala Ali for “Moonlight.”
Best Supporting Actress
2000: Julie Walters won the BAFTA for “Billy Elliot”; Oscar winner Marcia Gay Harden (“Pollock”) was not nominated at BAFTA.
2005: Thandie Newton won the BAFTA for “Crash”; Oscar winner Rachel Weisz contended in lead at BAFTA for “The Constant Gardener.”
2010: Helena Bonham-Carter won the BAFTA for “The King’s Speech”; Oscar winner Melissa Leo (“The Fighter”) was not nominated at BAFTA.
2015: Kate Winslet won the BAFTA for “Steve Jobs”; Oscar winner Alicia Vikander contended in lead at BAFTA for “The Danish Girl.”
Be sure to make your BAFTA predictions so that studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 10. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 BAFTAs taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.