Rachel Weisz is far and away the, uh, favorite to win Best Supporting Actress for “The Favourite” at Sunday’s BAFTA Awards. Per our latest predictions, Weisz has 16/5 odds to prevail and win her first career BAFTA.
Weisz was in a close race with No. 2 Amy Adams (“Vice”), but she pulled away after the Screen Actors Guild Awards following BAFTA and Oscar snubbee Emily Blunt‘s win for “A Quiet Place.” Weisz now has the support of all eight of our Experts, eight Editors and 17 of our Top 24 Users.
With Oscar frontrunner Regina King (“If Beale Street Could Talk”) MIA from this race as well and “The Favourite”‘s strong nomination showing, it’s a prime opportunity for Weisz to snag a big win and emerge as the alternative to King. She’s already earned the British Independent Film Award and the London Film Critics Circle Award for her turn as Sarah Churchill.
BAFTA sometimes go for homegrown stars as well, which gives Brit Weisz an advantage, nevermind the fact that her film is, you know, about a British monarch. The BAFTA was also one of the few prizes Weisz didn’t win en route to her Oscar for “The Constant Gardener” (2005) because the Brits moved her into lead, where she lost to Reese Witherspoon (“Walk the Line”).
During that Oscar run, Weisz defeated Adams (“Junebug”), so she could notch another win over now too. Adams saw her stock drop after the SAGs, where she was widely expected to win, but she still has three of our Top 24 Users backing her. A seven-time nominee, she has more BAFTA bids than Oscar bids, so you could argue she’s more overdue for a BAFTA win.
In third place is Weisz’ co-star Emma Stone, the only other person besides Weisz and Adams this season who’s hit all the major precursors. Claire Foy (“First Man”) and Margot Robbie (“Mary Queen of Scots”), neither of whom are Oscar-nominated, are in fourth and fifth, respectively, but if either pulls an Emily Blunt, then it’s clear sailing for King all the way.
Be sure to make your BAFTA predictions so that studio executives and top name stars can see how their films are faring in our odds. You can keep changing your predictions until just before winners are announced on February 10. And join in the fierce debate over the 2019 BAFTAs taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our film forums. Read more Gold Derby entertainment news.